Dortmund
5 - 1
Freiburg

Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Demirovic (61')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Freiburg

This is a very difficult match to call, as Freiburg deserve a lot of respect for their performances and indeed results this season. Dortmund simply have to win in order to stay in touch with Bayern, though, and we are backing the home side to edge a close contest on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
65.8%	18.88%	15.32%

Both teams to score 56.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.89%

37.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69%

59.31%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47%

10.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.77%

34.23%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89%

37.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11%

73.89%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.8%

Freiburg 15.32%

Draw 18.88%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.79% Total : 65.8%	1-1 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.88%	1-2 @ 4.32% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.32%