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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
KL

Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Somers (21')
Agyekum (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Findlay (49'), Vassell (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League

We said: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Kilmarnock (Cercle Brugge win 3-1 on aggregate)

Back on a more familiar surface than Kilmarnock's artificial grass, Cercle Brugge should make their technical superiority count, sealing a place in the third qualifying round with victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cercle Brugge in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cercle Brugge.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawKilmarnock
44.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 24.93% (-0.029 -0.03) 30.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (0.129 0.13)47.07% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (0.122 0.12)69.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.096000000000004 0.1)53.78% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (0.073999999999998 0.07)29.1% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (0.089999999999996 0.09)65.03% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 44.91%
    Kilmarnock 30.16%
    Draw 24.92%
Cercle BruggeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Talbot 0-4 Kilmarnock
Sunday, July 14 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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