Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
