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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
KL

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Kilmarnock

Although both of these teams have been producing contrasting form of late, we still anticipate a competitive fixture. However, Kilmarnock are the favourites for a reason and they should have enough to edge this contest, perhaps by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
38.71% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 35.01% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.47% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)73.27% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.14% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.71%
    Kilmarnock 35.01%
    Draw 26.27%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 St Mirren
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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