Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Genk had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.