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Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena
DZ

Sheriff Tiraspol
3 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb

Traore (45', 80'), Kolovos (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Menalo (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawDinamo Zagreb
41.43%22.94%35.63%
Both teams to score 65.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2%35.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13%57.88%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38%48.63%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01%52.99%
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 41.43%
    Dinamo Zagreb 35.63%
    Draw 22.94%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 6.31%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.63%

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