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DC
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
D

Derry
1 - 2
Dundalk

Cole (18')
Clifford (70'), Toal (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Murray (7'), Flores (15')
Shields (86')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawDundalk
31.83%27.01%41.17%
Both teams to score 50.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97%55.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01%31.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55%68.45%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56%61.44%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 31.83%
    Dundalk 41.16%
    Draw 27%
Derry CityDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.16%


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