Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.