Fenerbahce
1 - 0
HJK Helsinki

(Fenerbahce win 6-2 on aggregate)

Gumuskaya (65')
Aziz (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos Murillo (48'), Browne (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	HJK Helsinki
32.11%	25.9%	41.99%

Both teams to score 53.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.52%

50.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.59%

72.41%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49%

65.51%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98%

58.02%

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 32.11%

HJK Helsinki 41.98%

Draw 25.9%

Fenerbahce	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.11%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.98%