Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.