HJK Helsinki
2 - 5
Fenerbahce

(Fenerbahce win 6-2 on aggregate)

Riski (27'), Riski (88')
Hostikka (3'), Peltola (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Valencia (11', 14', 52'), Yigit Sanliturk (90+2'), Peltola (90+4' og.)
Guler (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Fenerbahce
32.74%	25.07%	42.19%

Both teams to score 56.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3%

46.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04%

68.96%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77%

27.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34%

62.65%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9%

22.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54%

55.45%

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 32.74%

Fenerbahce 42.19%

Draw 25.06%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.83% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.19%