Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.