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HL
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle Park
FZ

Hearts
0 - 1
FC Zurich


Grant (18'), Rowles (42'), Shankland (47')
Grant (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rohner (80')
Conde (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, August 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Hearts 1-1 FC Zurich (FC Zurich to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hosting a European match for the first time since 2016, Hearts will be confident of turning the tie around at Tynecastle, but they will need to be on top of their game across the pitch if they are to progress past a resurgent Zurich outfit. However, the Swiss side showed their European experience in the first leg and we can see them frustrating the Jam Tarts to edge through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawFC Zurich
45.46% (-0.202 -0.2) 24.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 30.32% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.035000000000004 0.04)43.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)66.21% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)19.43% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.115 -0.12)51.27% (0.116 0.12)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.145 0.14)27.38% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (0.183 0.18)62.84% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.47%
    FC Zurich 30.32%
    Draw 24.22%
HeartsDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, August 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hearts 4-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, August 14 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 3-0 Linfield
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Sion
Sunday, August 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League


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