Although Hearts were denied a derby day victory, they will be pleased with four points from their opening two games, and we think that they will record their second win of the season against a Dundee United side who will be low on confidence after Thursday's performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
63.84% ( 5.52)	21.47% ( -2.45)	14.68% ( -3.07)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1% (

4.46)

49.89% (

-4.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

3.85)

71.89% (

-3.85)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

3.46)

14.97% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59% (

6.21)

43.4% (

-6.21)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12% (

-1.39)

45.87% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.38% (

-1.11)

81.62% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Hearts 63.84%

Dundee United 14.68%

Draw 21.47%

Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.23) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.76) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.93) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.17% Total : 63.84%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -1.07) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -1.34) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.47%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( -1.29) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.28% Total : 14.68%