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HL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
DU

Hearts
4 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hearts 2-1 Dundee United

Although Hearts were denied a derby day victory, they will be pleased with four points from their opening two games, and we think that they will record their second win of the season against a Dundee United side who will be low on confidence after Thursday's performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
63.84% (5.518 5.52) 21.47% (-2.451 -2.45) 14.68% (-3.071 -3.07)
Both teams to score 46.02% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (4.464 4.46)49.89% (-4.469 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (3.85 3.85)71.89% (-3.854 -3.85)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (3.464 3.46)14.97% (-3.469 -3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (6.209 6.21)43.4% (-6.213 -6.21)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-1.394 -1.39)45.87% (1.39 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38% (-1.11 -1.11)81.62% (1.106 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 63.84%
    Dundee United 14.68%
    Draw 21.47%
HeartsDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.155 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.84% (1.234 1.23)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.758 0.76)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.929 0.93)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.212 0.21)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.469 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.214 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.336 0.34)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 63.84%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-1.07 -1.07)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-1.335 -1.34)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-1.293 -1.29)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.59 -0.59)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.606 -0.61)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 14.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Preston
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Livingston
Sunday, August 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 AZ
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership


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