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FZ
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Letzigrund

FC Zurich
3 - 0
Linfield

Avdijaj (11', 26'), Santini (84')
Kamberi (62'), Hornschuh (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer (33'), Cooper (59'), McClean (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Sion
Sunday, August 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League

We said: FC Zurich 2-1 Linfield (FC Zurich to win 4-1 on aggregate)

Both sides have struggled for form in the opening weeks of the new season, but Zurich got the better of Linfield in the first leg and will be the favourites to progress to the next round considering their two-goal advantage. Linfield will be hoping to put up more of a fight in Switzerland, but we can see the hosts edging out their Northern Irish counterparts on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Linfield win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawLinfield
57.07% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09) 22.11% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.82% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (0.079000000000001 0.08)42.78% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)65.18% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (0.124 0.12)34.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (0.134 0.13)71.1% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 57.07%
    Linfield 20.82%
    Draw 22.11%
FC ZurichDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.07%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Sion
Sunday, August 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-2 Qarabag FK
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 8-0 Linfield
Wednesday, July 27 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 New Saints
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Linfield
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership


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