Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.