Rijeka
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Andrijasevic (1'), Pavicic (36'), Capan (90'), Lepinjica (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bautista (90+3')
Merino (90')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between HNK Rijeka and Real Sociedad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Real Sociedad
18.03%	23.39%	58.57%

Both teams to score 47.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03%

51.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29%

73.71%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27%

42.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94%

79.06%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53%

17.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05%

47.95%

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 18.03%

Real Sociedad 58.57%

Draw 23.39%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 6.35% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.7% 3-1 @ 1.33% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.03%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 13.02% 0-2 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-4 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.57%