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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
2 - 0
FK Suduva

Rangel (31'), Tarasovs (72')
Sale (58'), Pikk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Topcagic (70'), Kerla (90')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and FK Suduva.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for FK Suduva had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest FK Suduva win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawFK Suduva
37.92%26.8%35.28%
Both teams to score 51.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42%53.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91%75.09%
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57%27.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09%62.91%
FK Suduva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1%64.9%
Score Analysis
    KuPS 37.92%
    FK Suduva 35.28%
    Draw 26.79%
KuPSDrawFK Suduva
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.28%


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