Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Reims had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.