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Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
A

Sittard
1 - 2
Ajax

Tirpan (48')
Polter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Polter (19' og.), Haller (64')
Tagliafico (45+2'), Neres (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
10.11%14.16%75.73%
Both teams to score 58.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.97%27.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.47%47.53%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01%37.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24%74.76%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.07%5.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.3%22.7%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 10.11%
    Ajax 75.73%
    Draw 14.16%
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
2-1 @ 2.98%
1-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.36%
2-0 @ 1.06%
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 10.11%
1-1 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 4.21%
0-0 @ 2.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 14.16%
0-2 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-3 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 6.37%
0-4 @ 5.98%
1-4 @ 5.79%
2-3 @ 3.97%
0-5 @ 3.38%
1-5 @ 3.27%
2-4 @ 2.8%
0-6 @ 1.59%
2-5 @ 1.58%
1-6 @ 1.54%
3-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 75.73%

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