Fola Esch
2 - 2
Lincoln

(Lincoln Red Imps win 7-2 on aggregate)

Bensi (65'), D (66')
Muharemovic (41'), Dikaba (57'), Hym (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Carralero (26'), Britto (50')
Yahaya (70'), Lopes (90'), Britto (90+5')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Fola Esch and Lincoln Red Imps.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fola Esch win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fola Esch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Fola Esch	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
47.46%	25.59%	26.95%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32%

51.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54%

73.46%

Fola Esch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22%

21.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03%

54.97%

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.12%

33.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.45%

70.55%

Score Analysis

Fola Esch 47.45%

Lincoln Red Imps 26.95%

Draw 25.59%

Fola Esch	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.45%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.95%