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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Lincoln
5 - 0
Fola Esch

De Barr (19', 73'), Walker (39' pen., 68' pen.), Ronan (58')
Wiseman (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Delgado (7'), Hym (38'), Pimentel (85')
Hym (65')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Fola Esch.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fola Esch win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fola Esch win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawFola Esch
35.09%25.36%39.55%
Both teams to score 56.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.55%47.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34%69.66%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82%26.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74%61.25%
Fola Esch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 35.09%
    Fola Esch 39.55%
    Draw 25.35%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawFola Esch
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.55%

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