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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis

OFI Crete
0 - 1
Apollon


Giannoulis (18'), Neira (60'), Selimovic (82'), Mellado (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szalai (50')
Denic (23'), Benschop (54'), Sachetti (85')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between OFI Crete and Apollon Smyrni.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Apollon Smyrni win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
OFI CreteDrawApollon Smyrni
43.41%23.33%33.25%
Both teams to score 63.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.34%60.65%
OFI Crete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91%18.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.98%49.02%
Apollon Smyrni Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Score Analysis
    OFI Crete 43.41%
    Apollon Smyrni 33.25%
    Draw 23.32%
OFI CreteDrawApollon Smyrni
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.25%


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