Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.88%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.