Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
