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Thursday, March 28
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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
CL

Real Sociedad
4 - 1
Cadiz

Oyarzabal (26' pen., 34'), Isak (54', 59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Izquierdo (65')
Izquierdo (38'), Sobrino (89')
Mauro (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawCadiz
59.22%23.25%17.52%
Both teams to score 46.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81%52.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1%73.89%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68%17.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31%47.68%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52%43.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31%79.69%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 59.22%
    Cadiz 17.52%
    Draw 23.25%
Real SociedadDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.64%
4-0 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.35%
5-0 @ 1.04%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.22%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 7.53%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.52%

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