SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 59.22% | 23.25% | 17.52% |
| Both teams to score 46.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.81% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.1% | 73.89% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% | 17.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.31% | 47.68% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% | 43.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.31% | 79.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.52% |
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