Riga FC
0 - 1
Celtic

Kamess (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elyounoussi (90')
Brown (41'), Duffy (71')

Build‑up

Neil Lennon lavishes praise on Celtic substitutes following Europa League win

Neil Lennon delighted with "dominant" Celtic after Europa League progress

The Match

Match Report

Elyounoussi scored in the 90th minute in the Europa League tie in Latvia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	Celtic
20.16%	26.59%	53.25%

Both teams to score 41.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.24%

60.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.19%

80.81%

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57%

45.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72%

81.28%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95%

23.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12%

56.88%

Score Analysis

Riga FC 20.16%

Celtic 53.23%

Draw 26.59%

Riga FC	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 3.26% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.16%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 15.36% 0-2 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.5% Total : 53.23%