Given that Slavia Prague have won six of their seven matches this season - keeping four clean sheets along the way - we expect the hosts to notch a healthy first-leg lead on Thursday, with Zorya Luhansk expected to struggle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Slavia Prague in this match.