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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
AA

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 2
AEK Athens

Bulat (39')
Ivanusec (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zuber (59'), Galanopoulos (90')
Hajsafi (57'), Mantalos (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 AEK Athens

While Dinamo's four-game run without conceding could end on Tuesday, the Croatian outfit should defeat AEK comfortably in Zagreb to put themselves in the driver's seat after the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawAEK Athens
44.47% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 23.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 31.66% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)41.51% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.047000000000004 0.05)63.91% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.024999999999991 0.02)18.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.41% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.18% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 44.48%
    AEK Athens 31.66%
    Draw 23.85%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawAEK Athens
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Astana 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, August 2 at 3pm in Champions League
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Astana
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Hajduk Split
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AEK Athens 4-0 Volos
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 1-2 AEK Athens
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-0 Olympiacos
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 4-0 PAOK
Wednesday, April 26 at 7pm in Greek Superleague


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