Sturm Graz
2 - 0
NS Mura

(Sturm Graz win 5-1 on aggregate)

Kiteishvili (39'), Jantscher (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marusko (33'), Gorenc (82')
Marusko (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and NS Mura, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	NS Mura
50.58%	21.35%	28.06%

Both teams to score 67.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.52%

31.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.04%

52.96%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06%

12.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.6%

39.4%

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41%

22.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81%

56.19%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 50.58%

NS Mura 28.06%

Draw 21.35%

Sturm Graz	Draw	NS Mura
2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 6.11% 1-0 @ 5.98% 3-2 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 6.76% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.25% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.06%