Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
