NS Mura
1 - 3
Sturm Graz

(Sturm Graz win 5-1 on aggregate)

Skoflek (3')
Sturm (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jantscher (18' pen.), Kiteishvili (60'), Yeboah (63')
Gorenc Stankovic (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between NS Mura and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
NS Mura	Draw	Sturm Graz
27.45%	24.02%	48.54%

Both teams to score 57.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35%

44.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99%

67.01%

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2%

29.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12%

65.88%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49%

18.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27%

49.73%

Score Analysis

NS Mura 27.45%

Sturm Graz 48.54%

Draw 24.01%

NS Mura	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 6.82% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.45%	1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 9.5% 0-1 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.54%