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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 2pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
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Russia
2 - 1
Slovenia

Dzyuba (26', 35')
Golovin (11'), Kudryashov (43'), Miranchuk (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ilicic (36')
Mevlja (13'), Zahovic (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
RussiaDrawSlovenia
55.67%24.47%19.86%
Both teams to score 47.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25%53.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77%75.23%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09%50.91%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.32%41.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84%78.16%
Score Analysis
    Russia 55.66%
    Slovenia 19.86%
    Draw 24.47%
RussiaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.66%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.86%

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