SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Malta had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Russia |
| 26.31% | 25.78% | 47.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% | 52.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% | 74.46% |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% | 35.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.23% | 71.76% |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.58% | 55.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Russia |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.32% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.89% |
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