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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
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Malta
1 - 3
Russia

Mbong (56')
Corbolan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dzyuba (23'), Fernandes (35'), Sobolev (90')
Zhemaletdinov (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Malta had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawRussia
26.31%25.78%47.89%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15%52.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.46%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23%71.76%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58%55.41%
Score Analysis
    Malta 26.32%
    Russia 47.89%
    Draw 25.78%
MaltaDrawRussia
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.32%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.89%

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