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European Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
EN

Netherlands
1 - 2
England

Simons (7')
Dumfries (17'), van Dijk (87'), Simons (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (18' pen.), Watkins (90+1')
Bellingham (72'), Saka (86'), Trippier (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for England had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawEngland
37.83% (0.061 0.06) 27.3% (0.038 0.04) 34.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.155 -0.16)55.63% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.128 -0.13)76.79% (0.131 0.13)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)28.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)64.23% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.137 -0.14)30.28% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.167 -0.17)66.45% (0.16799999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 37.83%
    England 34.86%
    Draw 27.29%
NetherlandsDrawEngland
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
Tuesday, July 2 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 2-1 Slovakia
Sunday, June 30 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 0-0 Slovenia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Denmark 1-1 England
Thursday, June 20 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 England
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 0-1 Iceland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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