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European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
NN

Romania
0 - 3
Netherlands


Marin (67'), Stanciu (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (20'), Malen (83', 90+3')
Dumfries (78'), Malen (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Romania had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawNetherlands
26.11% (-0.457 -0.46) 26.82% (-0.103 -0.1) 47.07% (0.558 0.56)
Both teams to score 47.48% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)56.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.074000000000002 0.07)77.79% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)37.38% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.335 -0.34)74.17% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.307 0.31)24.17% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.435 0.44)58.5% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Romania 26.11%
    Netherlands 47.07%
    Draw 26.81%
RomaniaDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.11% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Romania
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Romania 3-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 17 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 3-2 Romania
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Canada
Thursday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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