AFC Croydon Athletic
4 - 0
VCD Athletic

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between AFC Croydon Athletic and VCD Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Croydon Athletic win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for VCD Athletic had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Croydon Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest VCD Athletic win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Croydon Athletic would win this match.

Result
AFC Croydon Athletic	Draw	VCD Athletic
49.08%	21.13%	29.79%

Both teams to score 69.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.9%

29.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.9%

50.1%

AFC Croydon Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45%

12.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.41%

38.59%

VCD Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64%

20.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23%

52.77%

Score Analysis

AFC Croydon Athletic 49.08%

VCD Athletic 29.79%

Draw 21.13%

AFC Croydon Athletic	Draw	VCD Athletic
2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 5.5% 1-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-3 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 6.97% 3-3 @ 2.56% 0-0 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-4 @ 1.42% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.79%