Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bishop Auckland win with a probability of 58.42%. A win for Ashington AFC had a probability of 21.59% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bishop Auckland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.3%) and 1-3 (7.04%). The likeliest Ashington AFC win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.