Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avro win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Bury had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Bury win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.93) 
0.07) 
