Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avro had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for an Avro win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.11) 
