FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haywood Way
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Aylesbury and Bognor Regis Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bognor Regis Town win with a probability of 74.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Aylesbury had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bognor Regis Town win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-3 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.21%), while for an Aylesbury win it was 2-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bognor Regis Town would win this match.
Result |
Aylesbury | Draw | Bognor Regis Town |
11.52% ( 0.01) | 13.78% ( 0) | 74.69% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.21% ( 0) |
79.53% ( -0.01) | 20.47% ( 0) |
61.24% ( -0.01) | 38.76% ( 0) |
69.49% ( 0.01) | 30.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( 0.01) | 66.72% ( -0.01) |
95.28% ( -0.01) | 4.71% ( 0) |