Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.