Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.