FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Eyrie
Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade and Canvey Island.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Biggleswade win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Canvey Island had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Biggleswade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Canvey Island win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Biggleswade would win this match.
| Result |
| Biggleswade | Draw | Canvey Island |
41.05% ( -0.2) | 23.37% ( 0.08) | 35.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.65% ( -0.27) |
| 62.06% ( -0.37) | 37.93% ( 0.36) |
| 39.8% ( -0.39) | 60.19% ( 0.39) |
| 81.08% ( -0.24) | 18.91% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.4) | 50.4% ( 0.4) |
| 78.5% ( -0.1) | 21.5% ( 0.1) |
