FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
FT(HT: 0-2)
Howe (3', 67'), Butroid (15'),
Preston (79')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying Replays clash between Boston United and Gainsborough Trinity.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Boston United | Draw | Gainsborough Trinity |
52.6% ( 0.03) | 22.17% ( -0.01) | 25.22% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0) |
| 62.01% ( 0.01) | 37.99% ( -0.01) |
| 39.74% ( 0.01) | 60.25% ( -0.01) |
| 85.42% ( 0.02) | 14.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.34% ( 0.02) | 42.65% ( -0.02) |
| Gainsborough Trinity Goals |
| 72.04% ( -0.01) | 27.96% ( 0.01) |
