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FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Cambridge win 4-2 on penalties

Jones (105')
FT

Hobson (91'), Hayhurst (116')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

We said: Cambridge United 3-1 Curzon Ashton

Curzon Ashton were impressive when the two sides locked horns last weekend, but it is difficult to imagine a shock result occurring here. Cambridge were much-improved against Bolton in the league on Saturday and should have too much quality for their non-league opponents here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
52.37% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)44.56% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)66.92% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)47.15% (0.1 0.1)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)32.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 52.37%
    Curzon Ashton 24.24%
    Draw 23.38%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 52.37%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Cambridge
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-3 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Leamington
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Cambridge
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Hereford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North


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