SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
35.62% ( 0.14) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 38.28% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( 0.09) | 50.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.44% ( 0.07) | 72.56% ( -0.08) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.12) | 27.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( 0.16) | 62.85% ( -0.16) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.03) | 25.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.04) | 60.83% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.28% |
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