Coalville have done remarkably well to get to this stage but we think this tie will be a bridge too far for them.
The Valley has become somewhat of a fortress for Charlton too - they have only lost once at home so far this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coalville Town had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Coalville Town win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
