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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
41.49% ( -0.76) | 25.73% ( -0.06) | 32.78% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 0.49) | 49.57% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( 0.44) | 71.59% ( -0.45) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.16) | 23.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( -0.23) | 57.8% ( 0.22) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.78) | 28.61% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( 0.96) | 64.42% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.78% |
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