Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.04) 
